Escaping the Vicious Cycle of Recession

There was a certain point in the American economybasis, affect consumption. This becomes a trap and
when there was this general feeling of elation assoon, the economy enters into the vicious cycle of
most businesses rode in a wave of unabated growth.recession.
Businesses expanded and profits soared to levelsThe ultimate question in both consumers' and the
that were beyond imagination. However, this bull ofindustries' mind is how they can get out of this trap?
an economy suddenly stopped because of theHow can people and businesses survive the difficult
recession that every major industry is confrontedtimes?
with.One, business owners must evaluate their customers'
The United States-based National Bureau of Economicability to defy the economic downturn. In more
Research (NBER), a research organization dedicatedsimplistic terms, business owners must find ways to
to promoting a greater understanding of how themonitor and analyze their clients' spending patterns.
economy works, defines economic recession as: "aThey must try to understand the decision making
significant decline in [the] economic activity spreadprocess in each of their customers' minds. By
across the country, lasting more than a few months,knowing this, it would give business owners an
normally visible in real GDP growth, real personalindication of how they can convince consumers to
income, employment (non-farm payrolls), industrialstart spending.
production, and wholesale-retail sales." We are told ofBased on this assessment, business owners can then
stories about factories shutting down, companiesproceed to the second step which is to redesign
downsizing, personal income shrinking, and the worstcustomer offerings. These offerings must be able to
is, there are no immediate signs of recovery.encourage customers to spend amidst the difficult
Take the example of the ubiquitous corner storestimes.
that was once part of a thriving industry. The bigAlong with the redesigned customer offering is a
grocery chains as well as smaller independent chainsrethinking of marketing collaterals like print posters,
are both going through a period of very low clientbrochures, catalogs. These marketing collaterals must
turn-out. Despite aggressive marketing campaignsbe convincing enough to stimulate consumer spending
made obvious by the volume of orders from postereven on items which are less likely to be bought
printing companies, people are just not going to partduring these times like non essential items. The value
with their hard earned dollars. Or if they are, theyof these collaterals lie on their ability to not only
become more practical in the sense that they leanattract customers back to the shops but also to
towards the most essential household items such aspersuade them that this situation is temporary and
food items. Because people are not buying, sales fellthat in the long run, everything will be alright. This
to a historical low while inventories piled up inmessage is indeed very difficult considering that you
stockrooms. Unable to sustain its target profit margin,are working on a very limited space as that of the
these groceries, big and small, resorted to measuresprint posters.
to quickly fix the problem. However myopic theFinally, companies must be able to recalibrate their
strategies may seem, these groceries just have toefforts to create artificial demand to stimulate
cut its losses by laying off some of its personnel.spending. Companies can do this by refocusing and
Retrenchment has always been the quick and dirtylooking at the people who consume it rather than be
option. This strategy however, compounds theoriented on the product itself. The main point here is
problem because as workers are laid off,that people buy the product and not the other way
unemployment rose to levels that would, on a longeraround.